Guangda Ma

Author Archive | Guangda Ma

External Evaluation of Vancomycin Models

Introduction Current clinical evidence supports area under the concentration-time curve (AUC) rather than trough concentrations as a more rational target for vancomycin therapy (1). In mid-2019 practice at Auckland District Health Board Hospitals transitioned from trough concentration to AUC guided dosing supported by Bayesian forecasting using the GAVamycin model implemented in NextDose ( To support […]

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The Influence of Genotype on Warfarin Dose Predictions

Background & Aims: Warfarin is the most commonly prescribed oral anticoagulant worldwide, however, a narrow therapeutic range poses a barrier to safe and effective therapy. Common methods to predict warfarin dose requirements are biased at the extremes. When evaluated by simulation, Bayesian dose forecasting using a theory-based warfarin PKPD model achieves unbiased and precise dose predictions […]

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Performance of a Theory-Based Mechanistic Model for Predicting the Target Dose of Warfarin

Background: Warfarin is widely used as a treatment of venous thromboembolism and its capability to reduce the hazard of thromboembolic events has been unequivocally demonstrated. Variability between individuals, as well as a narrow therapeutic range are barriers to safe and effective warfarin therapy. Inadequate dose individualization contributes to under-utilization, 18-55% of patients who would benefit […]

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